Friday, December 24, 2010

NFL -- Week 16 Picks

After going 2-0 on the Eagles and the Jets in Week 15, my season record is now up to 25-18-2 as I continue to pull away from the .500 mark as the season wears on. It's funny how much this season's picks are the opposite of last season's, as last year I was utterly dominatory in the first half of the season only to become equally and utterly worthless in the second half to the point of going with straight-up opposite picks by the postseason, and winning amazingly well in doing so. This year has been pretty much the total opposite. I was mired within a game either way of .500 all through the first half of the season, but since then now it has been six straight weeks of winning picks, including a 3-0 week and now last week's 2-0 performance baked in there for good measure. With just two weeks to go in the 2010 NFL regular season, I am definitely looking to keep the momentum up heading into the postseason, where for whatever reason I have always had extremely good luck with my picks. And after putting up two road winners last week, the two games I like in Week 16 are both home teams, keeping with my theme of picking all kinds of winners week to week throughout this NFL season. With that in mind, here are the Week 16 picks, in no particular order as always:

1. St. Louis Rams -3 vs San Francisco 49ers. I'm going to the well one more time this season with that blazing idiot Mike Singletary, as his team is 1-6 on the road this year with only a win against lowly Arizona to their credit away from their home stadium. Yes the Niners have looked somewhat better after an 0-5 start, but last week's 34-7 shellacking by the Chargers shows that this 49ers team really still does suck. What's more, on the road this year, the Niners have lost by 27 to San Diego, 18 to Green Bay, by 3 to the Panthers of all teams, by 21 to the Chiefs and by 25 to the Seahawks, so there' just no reason to expect them not to lose by at least a field goal here. The Rams are in my opinion the best team in the terribad NFC West, and having already lost in overtime to the 49ers earlier in the year, I see the Rams getting their revenge this week in front of the hometown crowd in a play to nab their first division crown since the days of the Greatest Show on Turf.

2. Kansas City Chiefs -5 vs Tennessee Titans. The Chiefs' offense rematerialized with the return of Matt Cassel last week, and the team is 6-0 at home so far this year, including wins over solid teams like the Chargers and the Jaguars, both of whom are fighting it out for their divisions even at this late point in the season. With head coach Todd Haley poised to make a serious run at coach of the year honors after a truly amazing performance here in 2010, I expect the Chiefs to continue their run at home perfection by beating the overmatched Titans who had lost six straight efforts before beating the Texans at home in Week 15. Jamaal Charles should be able to keep the ball out of the Titans' hands behind the NFL's best rushing attack and against the 17th rated rush defense, and once the Chiefs score, the Titans' 29th-rated pass offense in the league is going to have a very tough time keeping pace.

Merry Christmas to all the Christ worshippers out there. And happy Chinese Food Day to the MOTs.

Go J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS this weekend!!!

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Blogger GnightMoon said...

I'm with you here on everything except Todd Haley, the most ridiculous "go for it on 4th down" guy in league history. I think KC's success is more a result of schedule, the best crowd in the league, and several straight years of premium draft picks.

I couldn't understand either of these lines and will be gambling on both accordingly.

1:14 PM  
Blogger GnightMoon said...

Amazingly that Chiefs line moved to 3.5...needless to say we pounded it.

1:14 PM  
Blogger Hammer Player a.k.a Hoyazo said...

Matt Cassel is one of the quiet success stories of the 2010 NFL season. His stats this year are pretty well incredible.

8:46 PM  
Blogger Hammer Player a.k.a Hoyazo said...

Btw Moon, you may not have liked some of his 4th down calls this year, but at some point you have got to give Todd Haley a lot of credit for coming out of nowhere and winning this division this year. He took a hideous team the past few years and in one season turned them into the best team that franchise has had in more than a decade, totally crushing the offensive and defensive juggernaut that is the Chargers in the process. He deserves a lot of credit even if he has made some dumb gameday calls (see your recent comment here about Andy Reid).

12:11 AM  
Blogger Bayne_S said...

I collected 5 units each on Rams and Chiefs.

I lost 1 unit on my 4 team parlay that Chargers killed. Lost 7 game tease Chargers and Jags killed.

playoff contenders gakking against shitty teams.

TMQ points to statistical studies that good running teams should go for it on 4th down more than Haley does. It is mainly on high school and college level that you see it attempted.

12:49 AM  

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